Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 16.917599 19.253579 21.751473 24.616259 27.805853 31.242762 35.221086
2024-10-13 13.753847 16.957340 20.620448 25.099504 30.407648 36.475834 43.914899
2024-10-20 10.892439 14.484286 18.857153 24.528166 31.638551 40.205214 51.247800
2024-10-27 8.623871 12.335468 17.132862 23.708115 32.393198 43.369564 58.171040
2024-11-03 7.565664 11.556478 16.997568 24.826247 35.644144 49.886032 69.836408
2024-11-10 7.057955 11.436346 17.696465 27.096450 40.604286 59.021777 85.669488
2024-11-17 6.352464 10.907523 17.728859 28.401134 44.319224 66.751019 100.201237
2024-11-24 5.469638 9.959702 17.003792 28.483304 46.242933 72.085242 111.758174
2024-12-01 4.584013 8.857711 15.882299 27.801952 46.914935 75.605294 120.900377
2024-12-08 3.964869 8.101434 15.202724 27.709838 48.431034 80.422763 132.214023
2024-12-15 3.528866 7.596843 14.867501 28.117934 50.732084 86.542395 145.832559
2024-12-22 3.091592 7.015393 14.317015 28.082164 52.269840 91.529593 157.960397
2024-12-29 2.902984 6.906848 14.630489 29.633629 56.679097 101.531088 178.866211
2025-01-05 2.572582 6.452147 14.239609 29.870583 58.840620 108.010603 194.518862
2025-01-12 2.168966 5.765567 13.305841 28.987028 58.928203 111.015901 204.635347
2025-01-19 1.808985 5.104893 12.327635 27.895048 58.515705 113.103912 213.302634
2025-01-26 1.692764 4.999739 12.493542 29.083573 62.444576 123.001353 235.885453
2025-02-02 1.689074 5.173659 13.282377 31.616140 69.126260 138.177872 268.447453
2025-02-09 1.600491 5.113011 13.540008 33.057524 73.780625 149.946474 295.586897
2025-02-16 1.428643 4.796525 13.170756 33.116641 75.687541 156.775231 314.236489
2025-02-23 1.228095 4.356670 12.447776 32.316100 75.773708 160.189780 326.841562
2025-03-02 1.090267 4.068130 12.049742 32.195508 77.237188 166.270293 344.624233
2025-03-09 0.996676 3.893264 11.910813 32.650160 79.929983 174.837270 367.416042